World Cup games single thread - [R] after group stage
in [World Football]
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From: milivella on 25 Jun 2010 16:40 2. Bet ====== What will be the last stage reached by some major national teams? .. Thread ------ http://groups.google.com/group/rec.sport.soccer/browse_thread/thread/b14d412382b63e48/ .. Table ----- 4 milivella 1 futbolmetrix 0 Abubakr 0 Clément 0 Enzo (milivella correctly predicted France's, Serbia's, Cote d'Ivoire's and Cameroon's fate) .. Spreadsheet ----------- http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=t_gMZU4-AVFZ4iUCFHvXcMQ&output=html .. .. .. 3. Unsophisticated Prediction Contest ===================================== What teams are underrated? .. Thread ------ http://groups.google.com/group/rec.sport.soccer/browse_thread/thread/2a7e7b2b20d96f69/ .. Results so far -------------- (I considered all the remaining 16 teams as going out in the 2nd round) SEMI-FINALS /\ -2 Brazil -2 England -2 Netherlands -2 Spain \/ QUARTER-FINALS /\ -1 Argentina -2 France -1 Germany -2 Italy -2 Ivory Coast -1 Paraguay -1 Portugal -1 Uruguay -1 USA \/ 2ND ROUND /\ -1 Algeria -1 Australia -1 Cameroon +1 Chile -1 Denmark +1 Ghana -1 Greece -1 Honduras +1 Japan +1 Mexico -1 New Zealand -1 Nigeria -1 North Korea -1 Serbia +1 Slovakia -1 Slovenia -1 South Africa +1 South Korea -1 Switzerland \/ GROUP STAGE .. Table ----- (given the computation method above, this is your minimum score: you can only score more points than these) - 1 Binder Dundat - 1 Real Mardin - 2 Google Beta User - 2 Jesus Petry - 2 MH - 3 anders t - 3 Mark V. - 4 milivella - 5 Abubakr - 6 Joachim Parsch - 7 Futbolmetrix - 8 Clément - 8 El Kot - 8 Jesper Lauridsen - 9 Mark -15 Juan Vazquez (Binder Dundat picked Ghana and Mexico, Real Mardin picked Mexico) .. Spreadsheet ----------- http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgU9XwgMT4SkdE41TlctLXdMcDcxSzBTOXZ5WTc3dWc&hl=en&output=html .. .. .. 4. Unsophisticated Overrated Team Spotting Contest ================================================== .. Thread ------ http://groups.google.com/group/rec.sport.soccer/browse_thread/thread/aba0ead07bafef77/ .. Results so far -------------- (I considered all the remaining 16 teams as going out in the 2nd round) QUARTER-FINALS: +1 Brazil +1 England +1 Netherlands +1 Spain 2ND ROUND: 0 Argentina +1 France 0 Germany +1 Italy +1 Ivory Coast 0 Paraguay 0 Portugal 0 Uruguay 0 USA .. Table ----- (given the computation method above, this is your maximum score: you can only score less points than these) +2 El Kot +2 MH +1 Abubakr +1 Futbolmetrix +1 milivella (Both El Kot and MH picked Ivory Coast) .. Spreadsheet ----------- http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgU9XwgMT4SkdEQ3c3VnQm9xTDFEdlRNZ01ETHY1MXc&output=html .. .. .. 6. *Very* unsophisticated prediction contest ============================================ Who will go further? .. Thread ------ http://groups.google.com/group/rec.sport.soccer/browse_thread/thread/09df4776d4cfc0eb/ .. Results so far -------------- ESP BRA ARG ENG NED GER ITA = FRA POR > CIV SRB < CHI USA MEX PAR URU CMR < GHA NGA < RSA DEN = AUS GRE = SWI KOR JPN SVK > SVN ALG = HON PRK < NZL .. Table ----- 5 Chagney Hunt 4 DK 4 futbolmetrix 4 Jesper Lauridsen 4 Jesus Petry 4 Mark 3 JK 3 Juan Vazquez 3 Lleo 3 Matthias Mühlich 3 MH 3 milivella 3 Philipp Lucas 3 Yo Merito 2 El Kot 2 pkehoe 2 SHUSSBAR 2 Werner Pichler 1 Clément 1 Mark V. (Chagney Hunt picked POR, CHI, RSA, SVK, NZL) .. Spreadsheet ----------- http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgU9XwgMT4SkdHJ0QmRrd3ZRZnFMaURyYXVXMUhhaGc&hl=en&output=html .. .. .. -- Cheers milivella
From: milivella on 25 Jun 2010 18:41 [I put off the gamemaster hat, put on the player hat. And all this without moving my hands away from keyboard. How do I do? It's an hat- trick.] > 2. Bet > 4 milivella > 1 futbolmetrix > 0 Abubakr > 0 Clément > 0 Enzo I have 1 more sure point (since either GER or ENG will go out in the 2nd round), but then I'll have very likely scored all the points I could, and I'll just have to hope that my opponents won't score enough points to catch me. > 3. Unsophisticated Prediction Contest > - 1 Binder Dundat > - 1 Real Mardin > - 2 Google Beta User > - 2 Jesus Petry > - 2 MH > - 3 anders t > - 3 Mark V. > - 4 milivella I've given the kiss of death to: - England and/or Germany - Italy - Serbia Then I have Chile and Mexico, who play Brazil and Argentina. Argh. No hope here, if I need to say it. > 4. Unsophisticated Overrated Team Spotting Contest > +2 El Kot > +2 MH > +1 Abubakr > +1 Futbolmetrix > +1 milivella I could win in scenarios like: USA out, ENG+PAR+POR+URU through. Easy! > 6. *Very* unsophisticated prediction contest > 5 Chagney Hunt > 4 DK > 4 futbolmetrix > 4 Jesper Lauridsen > 4 Jesus Petry > 4 Mark > 3 JK > 3 Juan Vazquez > 3 Lleo > 3 Matthias Mühlich > 3 MH > 3 milivella 3 out of 6. Like a damn flipping coin. A quick simulation tells me that I can win only if my pick wins in all the 6 matches that are still open. I do it every morning. --- Summary: I've lost in all the unsophisticated games. The bets? Better start sacrificing children to the Weaufx gods... -- Cheers milivella
From: milivella on 26 Jun 2010 07:05 Let's try something more specific for the bets. Standings --------- 4 milivella (FRA + SER + CIV + CAM) 1 futbolmetrix (ITA) 0 Abubakr 0 Clément 0 Enzo .. Predictions ----------- Legenda: r = round of 16 q = quarters s = semifinal f = final w = wins A = Abubakr C = Clément E = Enzo F = futbolmetrix M = milivella URU ---| | KOR ---| | | USA | ---| | GHA (r:ACEF) ---| | | NED | | ---| | | | SVK | ---| | | BRA (r:C s:E f:AF w:M) | ---| | CHI (r:ACEF) ---| | ARG (r:M q:CE s:A) | ---| | | MEX | ---| | | | GER (r:M q:AC s:F f:E) | | ---| | | ENG (r:M s:A w:CEF) ---| | PAR | ---| | | JPN ---| | ESP (r:M q:EF s:C w:A) ---| POR (r:ACF q:E) .. Max possible points ------------------- 8 milivella (4 + GER/ENG + ARG + BRA + ESP) 7 futbolmetrix (1 + GHA + GER/ENG + BRA + CHI + ESP + POR) 7 Abubakr (0 + GHA + GER + ARG + BRA + CHI + ESP + POR) 6 Clément (0 + GHA + ENG + ARG + BRA/CHI + ESP + POR) [in the other thread I wrote 7 because I forgot the GER/ENG thing] 6 Enzo (0 + GHA + GER/ENG + ARG + BRA + CHI + ESP/POR) [hope there are no errors] .. -- Cheers milivella
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