Prev: QUARTER 4: Paraguay - Spain [R]
Next: Argentina 1994-2010
From: milivella on 3 Jul 2010 17:01
2. Bet
======

What will be the last stage reached by some major national teams?

..

Thread
------

http://groups.google.com/group/rec.sport.soccer/browse_thread/thread/b14d412382b63e48/

..

Standings
---------

5 milivella (FRA + SER + CIV + CMR + ENG)
3 Clément (CHI + POR + ARG)
3 futbolmetrix (ITA + CHI + POR)
2 Abubakr (CHI + POR)
2 Enzo (ARG + CHI)

..

Predictions
-----------

Legenda:

s = semifinal
f = final
w = wins

A = Abubakr
C = Clément
E = Enzo
F = futbolmetrix
M = milivella



URU
---|
| NED
---|
| GER (s:F f:E)
---|
ESP (s:C w:A)

..

Max possible points
-------------------

5 milivella
(5)

4 futbolmetrix
(3 + GER)

3 Abubakr
(2 + ESP)

4 Clément
(3 + ESP)

3 Enzo
(2 + GER)

I won all the bets. But it was an evil move since the beginning! :)

..

..

..

3. Unsophisticated Prediction Contest
=====================================

What teams are underrated?

..

Thread
------

http://groups.google.com/group/rec.sport.soccer/browse_thread/thread/2a7e7b2b20d96f69/

..

Results so far
--------------

(I considered all the remaining 4 teams as going out in the
semifinals)

SEMI-FINALS

/\
-1 Brazil
-2 England
+1 Netherlands
+1 Spain
\/

QUARTER-FINALS

/\
+1 Argentina
-2 France
+2 Germany
-2 Italy
-2 Ivory Coast
+1 Paraguay
-1 Portugal
+2 Uruguay
-1 USA
\/

2ND ROUND

/\
-1 Algeria
-1 Australia
-1 Cameroon
+1 Chile
-1 Denmark
+2 Ghana
-1 Greece
-1 Honduras
+1 Japan
+1 Mexico
-1 New Zealand
-1 Nigeria
-1 North Korea
-1 Serbia
+1 Slovakia
-1 Slovenia
-1 South Africa
+1 South Korea
-1 Switzerland
\/

GROUP STAGE

..

Standings
---------

(given the computation method above, this is your minimum score: you
can only score more points than these)

+5 Binder Dundat
+2 (Simulations Collective)
+1 El Kot
+1 Jesper Lauridsen
+1 Jesus Petry
+1 Real Mardin
0 Abubakr
0 anders t
0 Clément
0 Google Beta User
-1 milivella
-2 Joachim Parsch
-2 Mark
-2 Mark V.
-2 MH
-3 Futbolmetrix
-4 Juan Vazquez

(Binder Dundat picked Argentina, Germany, Ghana and Mexico)

..

Spreadsheet
-----------

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgU9XwgMT4SkdE41TlctLXdMcDcxSzBTOXZ5WTc3dWc&hl=en&output=html

..

..

..

4. Unsophisticated Overrated Team Spotting Contest
==================================================

..

Thread
------

http://groups.google.com/group/rec.sport.soccer/browse_thread/thread/aba0ead07bafef77/

..

Results so far
--------------

(I considered all the remaining 4 teams as going out in the
semifinals)

QUARTER-FINALS:
0 Brazil
+1 England
-1 Netherlands
-1 Spain

2ND ROUND:
-1 Argentina
+1 France
-2 Germany
+1 Italy
+1 Ivory Coast
-1 Paraguay
0 Portugal
-2 Uruguay
0 USA

..

Standings
---------

+1 (Simulations Collective)
+1 milivella
0 El Kot
0 MH
-1 Futbolmetrix
-2 Abubakr

I won, picking Ivory Coast... and being the only one that didn't pick
Uruguay. I am the first person to have two entries in the Hall of
Fame:
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tn75Yf90b-qwbMG1_elVCog&output=html
:)

..

Spreadsheet
-----------

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgU9XwgMT4SkdEQ3c3VnQm9xTDFEdlRNZ01ETHY1MXc&output=html

..

..

..

6. *Very* unsophisticated prediction contest
============================================

Who will go further?

..

Thread
------

http://groups.google.com/group/rec.sport.soccer/browse_thread/thread/09df4776d4cfc0eb/

..

Results so far
--------------

ESP > BRA
ARG > ENG
NED GER
ITA = FRA
POR > CIV
SRB < CHI
USA = MEX
PAR < URU
CMR < GHA
NGA < RSA
DEN = AUS
GRE = SWI
KOR = JPN
SVK > SVN
ALG = HON
PRK < NZL

..

Standings
---------

6 Chagney Hunt
6 Jesper Lauridsen
6 Mark
5 Juan Vazquez
4 (Simulations Collective)
4 DK
4 El Kot
4 futbolmetrix
4 Jesus Petry
4 Lleo
4 MH
4 milivella
4 Philipp Lucas
4 SHUSSBAR
4 Werner Pichler
3 JK
3 Matthias Mühlich
3 pkehoe
3 Yo Merito
2 Clément
1 Mark V.

(Chagney Hunt picked ESP, POR, CHI, RSA, SVK, NZL. Jesper Lauridsen
picked ESP, ARG, POR, CHI, RSA, NZL. Mark picked ARG, POR, URU, GHA,
SVK, NZL.)

If Netherlands will go further than Germany, Chagney and Jesper will
win; if Germany will go further, Mark will win; if both NED and GER
will go out at semifinals the standings will remain as they are
(unfortunately I didn't consider 3th>4th in the rules...).

..

Spreadsheet
-----------

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgU9XwgMT4SkdHJ0QmRrd3ZRZnFMaURyYXVXMUhhaGc&hl=en&output=html

..

..

..

--
Cheers
milivella
From: milivella on 3 Jul 2010 17:13
milivella:

> 3. Unsophisticated Prediction Contest
> =====================================

> Standings
> ---------
>
> (given the computation method above, this is your minimum score: you
> can only score more points than these)
>
> +5 Binder Dundat
> +2 (Simulations Collective)
> +1 El Kot
> +1 Jesper Lauridsen
> +1 Jesus Petry
> +1 Real Mardin

Binder won! In fact this is the podium in each of the 8 different
possible outcomes:

1. uru 2. ger
6 Binder Dundat
2 El Kot
2 Jesper Lauridsen

1. uru 2. esp
5 Binder Dundat
2 El Kot
2 Jesper Lauridsen
2 Jesus Petry

1. ned 2. ger
5 Binder Dundat
4 El Kot
2 Jesper Lauridsen

1. ned 2. esp
5 Binder Dundat
4 El Kot
2 Jesper Lauridsen
2 Jesus Petry

1. ger 2. uru
7 Binder Dundat
3 El Kot
3 Jesper Lauridsen

1. ger 2. ned
7 Binder Dundat
4 El Kot
3 Jesper Lauridsen

1. esp 2. uru
5 Binder Dundat
3 El Kot
3 Jesper Lauridsen
3 Jesus Petry

1. esp 2. ned
5 Binder Dundat
4 El Kot
3 Jesper Lauridsen
3 Jesus Petry

Congratulations to Binder, that enters the Hall of Fame! :)
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tn75Yf90b-qwbMG1_elVCog&output=html

--
Cheers
milivella
From: milivella on 3 Jul 2010 17:26
milivella:

> Binder won!

To highlight his feat, I'll remind you that, asked before the WC to
pick the underrated teams in the list below - that (now we can tell
it) had 20 overrated teams and 12 underrated - Binder managed to pick
4 underrated teams (marked with *) and just 1 overrated (marked with
**). Kudos to him!

SEMIFINALS

/\
Brazil
England
Netherlands
Spain
\/

QUARTER-FINALS

/\
Argentina *
France
Germany *
Italy
Ivory Coast
Paraguay
Portugal
Uruguay
USA
\/

2ND ROUND

/\
Algeria
Australia
Cameroon
Chile
Denmark
Ghana *
Greece
Honduras
Japan
Mexico *
New Zealand
Nigeria
North Korea
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
South Africa **
South Korea
Switzerland
\/

--
Cheers
milivella
 | 
Pages: 1
Prev: QUARTER 4: Paraguay - Spain [R]
Next: Argentina 1994-2010