Virtual prediction contest (Ahwaz Airport game #4)
in [World Football]
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From: milivella on 21 Mar 2010 04:54 Goalkeepers: - Amelia, Marco - Miller, Markus - Pröll, Markus - Schwarzer, Mark - Storari, Marco - Wölfli, Marco Full-backs and wing-backs: - Cassetti, Marco - Motta, Marco - Pfertzel, Marc - Rossi, Marco (the Genoa one) - Estrada, Marco Center-backs: - Basa, Marko - Brzenska, Markus - Materazzi, Marco - Rossi, Marco (the Sampdoria one) - Torrejón, Marc Defensive midfielders: - Biagianti, Marco - Crosas, Marc - Donadel, Marco - Heikkinen, Markus - Senna, Marcos - van Bommel, Mark Midfielders: - Noble, Mark Attacking midfielders: - Davies, Mark Wingers: - Babic, Marko - Devic, Marko - Bresciano, Mark - Marchionni, Marco - Marin, Marko - Milinkovic, Marko - Padalino, Marco - Perovic, Marko Fast strikers: - Berg, Marcus - Di Vaio, Marco - Pantelic, Marko - Rosenberg, Markus Target strikers: - Arnautovic, Marko - Borriello, Marco - Fortuné, Marc-Antoine - Janko, Marc - Nygaard, Marc - Streller, Marco - Topic, Marko - Viduka, Mark (Player's selection is an homage to Mark V., who had the idea of this game.) --- Suppose that in July 2009 Fulham dropped all his players and bought the aforementioned 44 players (actually Schwarzer already was at Fulham). Nothing else in the world changes (e.g. not Fulham's staff and budget). The question you have to answer is: 1. What position would have Fulham reached in Premier League 2009-10? (1st to 20th) The person whose prediction will be closer to reality will win. We want an unique winner, so there is a tie-breaker question: 2. How many points will Fulham obtain in Premier League 2009-10? (0 to 114) You are free to predict (out of competition) about anything else: top goalscorer, FA cup stage reached, best player, etc. Deadline for submitting predictions: Wednesday March 24, 09:00 GMT. (I will simulate a season in Football Manager 2010 (no patch) and I'll post the results here.) -- Cheers milivella
From: El Kot on 21 Mar 2010 05:36 I have snipped the player list, since it's mot needed and whoever needs can see it in your original post. I'm giving my predictions below, but I have some questions: - the other teams in the EPL play with the squads they had in reality at the beginning of the 2009/2010 season? - how does FM handle so many players? (I'm just curious). Will it play the best (according to its grading) non-injured ones? Otherwise, this is an interesting competition. From looking at the Marko's, it seems to me that the real Fulham has a better defence and a weaker attack than the Marko Fulham (but that impression may be due to the fact that, with a very few exceptions, I know more of the midfield and attacking Markos, than of the defending ones). Anyhow, my prediction: Marko Fulham will finish 8th, on 55 points. milivella wrote: > > 1. What position would have Fulham reached in Premier League 2009-10? > (1st to 20th) > > The person whose prediction will be closer to reality will win. We > want an unique winner, so there is a tie-breaker question: > > 2. How many points will Fulham obtain in Premier League 2009-10? (0 to > 114) > > You are free to predict (out of competition) about anything else: top > goalscorer, FA cup stage reached, best player, etc. > > Deadline for submitting predictions: Wednesday March 24, 09:00 GMT. > > (I will simulate a season in Football Manager 2010 (no patch) and I'll > post the results here.) -- No, no, you can't e-mail me with the nono.
From: milivella on 21 Mar 2010 06:22 El Kot: > - the other teams in the EPL play with the squads they had in reality at > the beginning of the 2009/2010 season? Yes. > - how does FM handle so many players? (I'm just curious). Well, in the default database Fulham have 57 players... (but admittedly most of them are youngsters) Of course the board could drop some of 44 players to lower the wage load (and/or buy some non-Marko players). > Will it play > the best (according to its grading) non-injured ones? It should play the players that Hodgson would play in each match (i.e. each manager is defined by 30 or so of attributes: e.g. what is his preferred formation? how much does he rotate the squad? More, some managers have "favourite" and "disliked" people). (Disclaimer: as I've written elsewhere, I know very little about FM, so I can be wrong, there could be important aspects of the game that I'm missing, etc.) > Otherwise, this is an interesting competition. Yep, Mark had a very nice idea. It's hard to force myself to avoid running myriads of experiments (e.g. if I create an award for the best Asian physio of the month in EPL, voted by all the European club managers, each of them casting 3 weighted votes, allowing previous winners to win rarely and not allowing winners more than 50 year old... or: if I build a Maracana-clone in Catania... if I tweak Brazilian weather as an ice age has occurred...). It's a strong temptation. Mark V., you'll burn in hell. -- Cheers milivella
From: Mark V. on 21 Mar 2010 14:03 On Mar 21, 3:22 am, milivella <milive...(a)gmail.com> wrote: ). It's a strong > temptation. Mark V., you'll burn in hell. Heh! Sorry! Thanks for doing this. I like your spin on my proposal. It's much more "realistic" than mine, given the roster size and the likelihood that some of the players on the winning Ahwaz #1 side are barely playing anymore. I predict that Fulhammark would finish sixth with 68 points.
From: Futbolmetrix on 21 Mar 2010 16:06
"milivella" <milivella(a)gmail.com> wrote in message news:8231644b-0cc6-4bda-bdf9-b6ccac25d428(a)30g2000yqi.googlegroups.com... > 1. What position would have Fulham reached in Premier League 2009-10? 11th, 47 points Funt to learn what the outcome of this game will be, but frankly, not as much fun as the miniger games. D |