Virtual prediction contest (Ahwaz Airport game #4)
in [World Football]
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From: milivella on 31 Mar 2010 03:37 Clément: > On Mar 30, 4:58 pm, milivella wrote: > > > 7th update: March 16: Fulham is 16th. > > > OK, Luiz (who wins if Fulham end the season >11th) will win it. > > I think this is kind of unfair. All I did was to predict the worst > outcome for MarcoFulham. I guess I do deserve some credit for > suspecting the team was overrated by most bets, but even then I was > conservative by betting on just one table position lower than than the > lowest bet before mine. > > That gave me 7 different winning outcomes, which were at least 5 more > than any other player except for Mark V, who had 6 - but really, what > were the odds FullMarko would contend for a UCL spot? I agree. This is the reason why I added the chance to mail me a private prediction in the Tight race prediction contest: http://groups.google.com/group/rec.sport.soccer/browse_thread/thread/5d08b488fc179280/ Don't know if it's enough, though. Maybe a sophisticated prediction would have been a better choice? Also, Mark suggested to just predict how a given bunch of players' total rating would compare to existing teams' total rating. Maybe I should have done it that way: we wouldn't know how many tackles per match would Materazzi win, but there would have been no reason to factor in Fulham's board etc. (and other teams' market: in this virtual 2009-10 season, Chelsea bought Cassano ad Iaquinta, United Di Natale and Giuseppe Rossi... English clubs seem to think that Italian strikers have a good quality/price ratio!). -- Cheers milivella
From: milivella on 31 Mar 2010 19:02 milivella: > 7th update: March 16: Fulham is 16th. Final result: May 16: Fulham is 17th. Data-filled screenshots: Played matches: http://i.imgur.com/vQS7W.jpg Competitions: - Premier League: http://i.imgur.com/uGdRV.jpg - [out of Europa League, FA Cup and League Cup] Players' stats: - Goalkeepers: http://i.imgur.com/tOwyL.jpg - Defenders: http://i.imgur.com/Whg0G.jpg - Midfielders: http://i.imgur.com/wflcc.jpg - Attackers: http://i.imgur.com/HvNgi.jpg Teams' stats: http://i.imgur.com/7H7I8.jpg So Luiz wins and enters the RSS Games Hall of Fame: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tn75Yf90b-qwbMG1_elVCog&output=html Congratulations! But this is not the end... -- Cheers milivella
From: Mark V. on 31 Mar 2010 20:22 On Mar 31, 4:02 pm, milivella <milive...(a)gmail.com> wrote:g > > So Luiz wins and enters the RSS Games Hall of Fame:http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tn75Yf90b-qwbMG1_elVCog&output... > Congratulations! Andrea, Do you have any connections with the RSSSF folk? I wonder if they'd allow you to archive some of these contest results?
From: milivella on 1 Apr 2010 14:13
Mark V.: > On Mar 31, 4:02 pm, milivella <milive...(a)gmail.com> wrote:g > > > > > So Luiz wins and enters the RSS Games Hall of Fame:http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tn75Yf90b-qwbMG1_elVCog&output... > > Congratulations! > > Andrea, > > Do you have any connections with the RSSSF folk? No. :( > I wonder if they'd > allow you to archive some of these contest results? It would be great. My games often don't follow strict rules, though, so I don't know if they are acceptable for RSSSF standards. -- Cheers milivella |