Virtual prediction contest (Ahwaz Airport game #4)
in [World Football]
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From: milivella on 26 Mar 2010 10:59 El Kot: > statistics checked out. If and when you have time, please make several > runs My laptop is running some simulations (I hope that somebody will help me analyzing them!). Just to be clear, I want to remind that the scope of FM's simulation is way larger than a league table: after each run, we have a lot of stats, like e.g. how many goals from corner has each team scored, and possibly even more detailed stats. But I guess that we agree that, if the main outcome of the simulation - that is to say, the final table - is not realistic, it doesn't matter what all the other outcomes are. -- Cheers milivella
From: milivella on 27 Mar 2010 04:33 milivella: > 3rd update: November 16: Fulham is 15th. 4th updated: December 16 [just before a very important Euro match!]: Fulham is 17th. Data-filled screenshots: Played matches: http://i.imgur.com/R3R0E.jpg Competitions: - Premier League: http://i.imgur.com/gTfcV.jpg - Europa League: http://i.imgur.com/HbrMa.jpg - FA Cup: http://i.imgur.com/u9JlR.jpg - [out of League Cup] Players' stats: - Goalkeepers: http://i.imgur.com/3hnK7.jpg - Defenders: http://i.imgur.com/8p9eW.jpg - Midfielders: http://i.imgur.com/7nTDz.jpg - Attackers: http://i.imgur.com/rxh9X.jpg -- Cheers milivella
From: milivella on 28 Mar 2010 06:24 milivella: > 4th updated: December 16 [just before a very important Euro match!]: > Fulham is 17th. 5th update: January 16: Fulham is 15th. Data-filled screenshots: Played matches: http://i.imgur.com/P46aA.jpg Competitions: - Premier League: http://i.imgur.com/HIhkw.jpg - FA Cup: http://i.imgur.com/5usD5.jpg - [out of Europa League and League Cup] Players' stats: - Goalkeepers: http://i.imgur.com/Ch0wi.jpg - Defenders: http://i.imgur.com/UnKKm.jpg - Midfielders: http://i.imgur.com/f9Ay5.jpg - Attackers: http://i.imgur.com/3RxIY.jpg -- Cheers milivella
From: milivella on 28 Mar 2010 18:04 El Kot: > If and when you have time, please make several > runs, and check the following things: Here are the results of 20 runs (in csv format). I won't run more simulations. Feel free to analyze them. Arsenal,69,70,63,78,61,75,67,63,76,62,62,60,61,65,76,70,69,61,55,69 Aston Villa, 68,52,61,59,53,59,55,56,52,45,66,67,44,62,54,57,56,52,77,65 Birmingham,26,32,28,38,24,31,30,35,26,28,29,30,28,15,28,37,26,21,37,34 Blackburn,50,42,50,45,48,37,33,50,56,44,51,35,39,39,41,33,51,55,51,26 Bolton,55,53,40,46,47,51,42,38,48,44,55,40,32,57,54,56,37,48,42,52 Burnley,26,28,24,26,27,35,33,33,31,26,26,24,23,35,26,26,20,34,26,19 Chelsea,66,86,82,81,75,64,75,78,94,79,76,87,83,90,78,85,85,66,72,76 Everton,61,67,54,58,61,77,62,60,62,63,46,60,59,67,66,60,71,61,74,61 Fulham,43,34,53,39,46,36,51,41,29,32,47,48,49,38,36,31,47,40,49,51 Hull,35,28,28,27,39,42,28,31,27,41,26,19,27,32,29,44,31,42,25,43 Liverpool,83,80,77,72,75,72,85,75,64,77,91,79,77,79,73,78,67,77,64,76 Man City,70,85,68,93,91,76,75,59,64,94,77,86,75,66,67,72,85,66,70,70 Man Utd,69,79,88,76,73,83,73,89,81,82,77,84,86,71,77,68,82,78,71,76 Portsmouth,38,41,36,24,42,18,34,39,39,29,44,36,32,36,28,31,33,34,26,36 Stoke,44,38,54,37,43,28,53,52,48,56,38,35,41,43,38,50,29,52,46,37 Sunderland,38,41,54,46,41,51,35,47,40,38,30,54,47,48,54,39,47,45,43,44 Tottenham,73,61,53,72,70,64,50,68,77,67,56,76,57,72,66,63,72,63,61,70 West Ham,52,50,41,49,54,49,56,61,48,57,53,50,63,40,49,43,55,43,49,62 Wigan,25,38,26,31,42,34,41,26,37,41,42,47,52,45,39,39,49,51,43,36 Wolves,56,37,54,37,47,59,47,39,38,47,53,35,52,44,51,61,43,51,46,51 Football Manger Settings: - Leagues: England - Premier Division - playable - Database size: Large - Matches in full detail (all matches): Premier Division [note: the fact that the other competitions are simulated more vaguely could in theory slightly affect the outcome] - Start unemployed -- Cheers milivella
From: milivella on 29 Mar 2010 14:59
milivella: > 5th update: January 16: Fulham is 15th. 6th update: February 16: Fulham is 16th. Data-filled screenshots: Played matches: http://i.imgur.com/d0oGW.jpg Competitions: - Premier League: http://i.imgur.com/l0yR0.jpg - [out of Europa League, FA Cup and League Cup] Players' stats: - Goalkeepers: http://i.imgur.com/wDzGw.jpg - Defenders: http://i.imgur.com/J8m51.jpg - Midfielders: http://i.imgur.com/GBfS6.jpg - Attackers: http://i.imgur.com/4ZEZh.jpg -- Cheers milivella |