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From: Futbolmetrix on 12 Jul 2010 07:32
AQB holds on to the first place he had after the end of the first round.
Congrats, Myk, you enter the Hall of Sophistication!

And congrats to Jim Goloboy for a stunning second place, and for being the
first of the humans. Your entry was...erm.. a bit unorthodox (you assigned
Spain a probability of 1 to win the whole thing), but it paid off. Well done
to Werner too: fifth place and three computer simulations behind you.

I will console myself with first place among humans who didn't assign any
zeros or ones.

Congratulation to all other contestants for a fair and sophisticated effort,
and thank you for playing.



Final Table
Rank Name Total Score
1 AQB -33.7525
2 Jim Goloboy -34.215
3 Collective_Simulations -34.5756
4 Voros McCracken -34.6805
5 Werner Pichler -35.1609
6 ELO -35.5745
7 Castrol Football -35.7026
8 Chance de Gol -35.8936
9 Futbolmetrix -36.4845
10 Collective_Humans -36.7846
11 CHRIS HORYMSKI -38.1302
12 Jesus Petry -38.2043
13 Ll�o -38.5603
14 MH -39.0145
15 Joachim Parsch -39.5198
16 milivella -39.6157
17 Miguel -39.8449
18 Philipp Lucas -42.3915
19 Agnostic -42.9751
20 juanvazquez -43.9734
21 Alessandro Riolo -49.519
22 Olcay Kara -71.6446
23 Luiz Mello -106.644
24 Myk -107.007
25 JK -107.194
26 Anders T -115.511
27 7h(a)ch -174.223
28 Jussi Uosukainen -249.645
29 Nate Silver SPi -975.708
30 Binder Dundat -1187.68
31 Mark V. -1187.8
32 El Kot -1202.47



AQB's winning entry:

P_R1 P_R16 P_QF P_SF P_LF P_WF
A South Africa .5836 .2350 .1044 .0586 .0134 .0049
France .4217 .3800 .1113 .0649 .0158 .0061
Uruguay .4343 .2671 .1474 .1016 .0324 .0174
Mexico .5604 .1298 .1509 .1055 .0344 .0190
2.000
OK
B Argentina .1864 .2918 .1907 .1911 .0740 .0660
Greece .7219 .1849 .0650 .0242 .0034 .0006
Nigeria .5721 .2469 .1099 .0552 .0122 .0038
South Korea .5196 .2646 .1251 .0681 .0167 .0060
2.000
2.000
OK
C England .1001 .2891 .2136 .2111 .1000 .0862
Slovenia .6976 .2007 .0718 .0265 .0029 .0005
Algeria .7604 .1683 .0531 .0165 .0015 .0002
United States .4419 .3029 .1487 .0820 .0179 .0066

2.000
D Germany .3537 .2890 .1709 .1241 .0393 .0231
Serbia .4345 .2839 .1467 .0954 .0268 .0127
Ghana .7109 .1957 .0635 .0258 .0034 .0006
Australia .5009 .2705 .1269 .0753 .0188 .0075
2.000
2.000
OK
E Netherlands .0672 .2146 .3766 .1282 .1122 .1012
Denmark .6289 .2238 .1336 .0097 .0034 .0007
Cameroon .6173 .2285 .1394 .0104 .0037 .0007
Japan .6866 .1991 .1054 .0066 .0020 .0003

2.000
F Italy .2238 .3309 .3176 .0652 .0401 .0224
Slovakia .6422 .2552 .0931 .0070 .0021 .0003
Paraguay .3943 .3448 .2094 .0317 .0149 .0049
New Zealand .7397 .2031 .0536 .0029 .0007 .0001
2.000
2.000
OK
G Brazil .0568 .3232 .1775 .1255 .1370 .1799
Portugal .4048 .4319 .0808 .0442 .0256 .0127
Cote d'Ivoire .5815 .3348 .0468 .0221 .0108 .0039
Korea DPR .9569 .0425 .0005 .0001 .0000 .0000

2.000
H Spain .0000 .2158 .0998 .1340 .1759 .3745
Switzerland .8631 .1205 .0124 .0029 .0009 .0001
Chile .2449 .4321 .1462 .0821 .0575 .0371
Honduras .8919 .0992 .0071 .0014 .0004 .0000


From: Jim Goloboy on 12 Jul 2010 09:05
On Jul 12, 7:32 am, "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:

> And congrats to Jim Goloboy for a stunning second place, and for being the
> first of the humans. Your entry was...erm.. a bit unorthodox (you assigned
> Spain a probability of 1 to win the whole thing), but it paid off.

Unfortunately, I badly underestimated Uruguay. If Ghana and Uruguay
had switched places, my score would have been 33.547...did Asamoah
Gyan cost me a place in the Hall of Sophistication, or would the AQB
score also have improved?
From: Futbolmetrix on 12 Jul 2010 15:40
"Futbolmetrix" <futbolmetrix(a)yahoo.com> wrote in message
news:i1eufu$ub1$1(a)news.eternal-september.org...

Adjusted ranking, exclusing players who only submitted an entry for the
first round:

> Final Table
> Rank Name Total Score
> 1 AQB -33.7525
> 2 Jim Goloboy -34.215
> 3 Collective_Simulations -34.5756
> 4 Voros McCracken -34.6805
> 5 Werner Pichler -35.1609
> 6 ELO -35.5745
> 7 Castrol Football -35.7026
> 8 Chance de Gol -35.8936
> 9 Futbolmetrix -36.4845
> 10 Collective_Humans -36.7846
> 11 CHRIS HORYMSKI -38.1302
> 12 Jesus Petry -38.2043
> 13 Ll�o -38.5603
> 14 MH -39.0145
> 15 Joachim Parsch -39.5198
> 16 milivella -39.6157
> 17 Miguel -39.8449
> 18 Philipp Lucas -42.3915
> 19 Agnostic -42.9751
> 20 juanvazquez -43.9734
> 21 Alessandro Riolo -49.519
> 22 Olcay Kara -71.6446
> 23 Luiz Mello -106.644
> 24 Myk -107.007
> 25 JK -107.194
> 26 Anders T -115.511
> 27 7h(a)ch -174.223
> 28 Jussi Uosukainen -249.645




From: Jesus Petry on 12 Jul 2010 15:43
On Jul 12, 4:40 pm, "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote in message
>
> news:i1eufu$ub1$1(a)news.eternal-september.org...
>
> Adjusted ranking, exclusing players who only submitted an entry for the
> first round:
>
> >      Final Table
> >      Rank Name Total Score
> >      1 AQB -33.7525
> >      2 Jim Goloboy -34.215
> >      3 Collective_Simulations -34.5756
> >      4 Voros McCracken -34.6805
> >      5 Werner Pichler -35.1609
> >      6 ELO -35.5745
> >      7 Castrol Football -35.7026
> >      8 Chance de Gol -35.8936
> >      9 Futbolmetrix -36.4845
> >      10 Collective_Humans -36.7846
> >      11 CHRIS HORYMSKI -38.1302
> >      12 Jesus Petry -38.2043
> >      13 Lléo -38.5603
> >      14 MH -39.0145
> >      15 Joachim Parsch -39.5198
> >      16 milivella -39.6157
> >      17 Miguel -39.8449
> >      18 Philipp Lucas -42.3915
> >      19 Agnostic -42.9751
> >      20 juanvazquez -43.9734
> >      21 Alessandro Riolo -49.519
> >      22 Olcay Kara -71.6446
> >      23 Luiz Mello -106.644
> >      24 Myk -107.007
> >      25 JK -107.194
> >      26 Anders T -115.511
> >      27 7h(a)ch -174.223
> >      28 Jussi Uosukainen -249.645

Congrats, Myk and Jim!

Tchau!
Jesus Petry
From: Werner Pichler on 12 Jul 2010 16:17
On 12 Jul., 13:32, "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> AQB holds on to the first place he had after the end of the first round.
> Congrats, Myk, you enter the Hall of Sophistication!
>
> And congrats to Jim Goloboy for a stunning second place, and for being the
> first of the humans. Your entry was...erm.. a bit unorthodox (you assigned
> Spain a probability of 1 to win the whole thing),

I didn't see that coming, what a crushing coming-from-behind
victory! I thought when Uruguay (to whom I assigned
zero probability for reaching the final) bowed out that I
had a good chance of being the best human... That'll
teach me for getting cocky :)


> but it paid off. Well done
> to Werner too: fifth place and three computer simulations behind you.

I underestimated Spain, I think that was crucial. I thought they'd
remain true to form and bow out in the quarterfinal.

Ciao,
Werner
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