From: Futbolmetrix on 12 Jul 2010 07:32 AQB holds on to the first place he had after the end of the first round. Congrats, Myk, you enter the Hall of Sophistication! And congrats to Jim Goloboy for a stunning second place, and for being the first of the humans. Your entry was...erm.. a bit unorthodox (you assigned Spain a probability of 1 to win the whole thing), but it paid off. Well done to Werner too: fifth place and three computer simulations behind you. I will console myself with first place among humans who didn't assign any zeros or ones. Congratulation to all other contestants for a fair and sophisticated effort, and thank you for playing. Final Table Rank Name Total Score 1 AQB 33.7525 2 Jim Goloboy 34.215 3 Collective_Simulations 34.5756 4 Voros McCracken 34.6805 5 Werner Pichler 35.1609 6 ELO 35.5745 7 Castrol Football 35.7026 8 Chance de Gol 35.8936 9 Futbolmetrix 36.4845 10 Collective_Humans 36.7846 11 CHRIS HORYMSKI 38.1302 12 Jesus Petry 38.2043 13 Ll�o 38.5603 14 MH 39.0145 15 Joachim Parsch 39.5198 16 milivella 39.6157 17 Miguel 39.8449 18 Philipp Lucas 42.3915 19 Agnostic 42.9751 20 juanvazquez 43.9734 21 Alessandro Riolo 49.519 22 Olcay Kara 71.6446 23 Luiz Mello 106.644 24 Myk 107.007 25 JK 107.194 26 Anders T 115.511 27 7h(a)ch 174.223 28 Jussi Uosukainen 249.645 29 Nate Silver SPi 975.708 30 Binder Dundat 1187.68 31 Mark V. 1187.8 32 El Kot 1202.47 AQB's winning entry: P_R1 P_R16 P_QF P_SF P_LF P_WF A South Africa .5836 .2350 .1044 .0586 .0134 .0049 France .4217 .3800 .1113 .0649 .0158 .0061 Uruguay .4343 .2671 .1474 .1016 .0324 .0174 Mexico .5604 .1298 .1509 .1055 .0344 .0190 2.000 OK B Argentina .1864 .2918 .1907 .1911 .0740 .0660 Greece .7219 .1849 .0650 .0242 .0034 .0006 Nigeria .5721 .2469 .1099 .0552 .0122 .0038 South Korea .5196 .2646 .1251 .0681 .0167 .0060 2.000 2.000 OK C England .1001 .2891 .2136 .2111 .1000 .0862 Slovenia .6976 .2007 .0718 .0265 .0029 .0005 Algeria .7604 .1683 .0531 .0165 .0015 .0002 United States .4419 .3029 .1487 .0820 .0179 .0066 2.000 D Germany .3537 .2890 .1709 .1241 .0393 .0231 Serbia .4345 .2839 .1467 .0954 .0268 .0127 Ghana .7109 .1957 .0635 .0258 .0034 .0006 Australia .5009 .2705 .1269 .0753 .0188 .0075 2.000 2.000 OK E Netherlands .0672 .2146 .3766 .1282 .1122 .1012 Denmark .6289 .2238 .1336 .0097 .0034 .0007 Cameroon .6173 .2285 .1394 .0104 .0037 .0007 Japan .6866 .1991 .1054 .0066 .0020 .0003 2.000 F Italy .2238 .3309 .3176 .0652 .0401 .0224 Slovakia .6422 .2552 .0931 .0070 .0021 .0003 Paraguay .3943 .3448 .2094 .0317 .0149 .0049 New Zealand .7397 .2031 .0536 .0029 .0007 .0001 2.000 2.000 OK G Brazil .0568 .3232 .1775 .1255 .1370 .1799 Portugal .4048 .4319 .0808 .0442 .0256 .0127 Cote d'Ivoire .5815 .3348 .0468 .0221 .0108 .0039 Korea DPR .9569 .0425 .0005 .0001 .0000 .0000 2.000 H Spain .0000 .2158 .0998 .1340 .1759 .3745 Switzerland .8631 .1205 .0124 .0029 .0009 .0001 Chile .2449 .4321 .1462 .0821 .0575 .0371 Honduras .8919 .0992 .0071 .0014 .0004 .0000
From: Jim Goloboy on 12 Jul 2010 09:05 On Jul 12, 7:32 am, "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote: > And congrats to Jim Goloboy for a stunning second place, and for being the > first of the humans. Your entry was...erm.. a bit unorthodox (you assigned > Spain a probability of 1 to win the whole thing), but it paid off. Unfortunately, I badly underestimated Uruguay. If Ghana and Uruguay had switched places, my score would have been 33.547...did Asamoah Gyan cost me a place in the Hall of Sophistication, or would the AQB score also have improved?
From: Futbolmetrix on 12 Jul 2010 15:40 "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmetrix(a)yahoo.com> wrote in message news:i1eufu$ub1$1(a)news.eternalseptember.org... Adjusted ranking, exclusing players who only submitted an entry for the first round: > Final Table > Rank Name Total Score > 1 AQB 33.7525 > 2 Jim Goloboy 34.215 > 3 Collective_Simulations 34.5756 > 4 Voros McCracken 34.6805 > 5 Werner Pichler 35.1609 > 6 ELO 35.5745 > 7 Castrol Football 35.7026 > 8 Chance de Gol 35.8936 > 9 Futbolmetrix 36.4845 > 10 Collective_Humans 36.7846 > 11 CHRIS HORYMSKI 38.1302 > 12 Jesus Petry 38.2043 > 13 Ll�o 38.5603 > 14 MH 39.0145 > 15 Joachim Parsch 39.5198 > 16 milivella 39.6157 > 17 Miguel 39.8449 > 18 Philipp Lucas 42.3915 > 19 Agnostic 42.9751 > 20 juanvazquez 43.9734 > 21 Alessandro Riolo 49.519 > 22 Olcay Kara 71.6446 > 23 Luiz Mello 106.644 > 24 Myk 107.007 > 25 JK 107.194 > 26 Anders T 115.511 > 27 7h(a)ch 174.223 > 28 Jussi Uosukainen 249.645
From: Jesus Petry on 12 Jul 2010 15:43 On Jul 12, 4:40 pm, "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote: > "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote in message > > news:i1eufu$ub1$1(a)news.eternalseptember.org... > > Adjusted ranking, exclusing players who only submitted an entry for the > first round: > > > Final Table > > Rank Name Total Score > > 1 AQB 33.7525 > > 2 Jim Goloboy 34.215 > > 3 Collective_Simulations 34.5756 > > 4 Voros McCracken 34.6805 > > 5 Werner Pichler 35.1609 > > 6 ELO 35.5745 > > 7 Castrol Football 35.7026 > > 8 Chance de Gol 35.8936 > > 9 Futbolmetrix 36.4845 > > 10 Collective_Humans 36.7846 > > 11 CHRIS HORYMSKI 38.1302 > > 12 Jesus Petry 38.2043 > > 13 Lléo 38.5603 > > 14 MH 39.0145 > > 15 Joachim Parsch 39.5198 > > 16 milivella 39.6157 > > 17 Miguel 39.8449 > > 18 Philipp Lucas 42.3915 > > 19 Agnostic 42.9751 > > 20 juanvazquez 43.9734 > > 21 Alessandro Riolo 49.519 > > 22 Olcay Kara 71.6446 > > 23 Luiz Mello 106.644 > > 24 Myk 107.007 > > 25 JK 107.194 > > 26 Anders T 115.511 > > 27 7h(a)ch 174.223 > > 28 Jussi Uosukainen 249.645 Congrats, Myk and Jim! Tchau! Jesus Petry
From: Werner Pichler on 12 Jul 2010 16:17 On 12 Jul., 13:32, "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote: > AQB holds on to the first place he had after the end of the first round. > Congrats, Myk, you enter the Hall of Sophistication! > > And congrats to Jim Goloboy for a stunning second place, and for being the > first of the humans. Your entry was...erm.. a bit unorthodox (you assigned > Spain a probability of 1 to win the whole thing), I didn't see that coming, what a crushing comingfrombehind victory! I thought when Uruguay (to whom I assigned zero probability for reaching the final) bowed out that I had a good chance of being the best human... That'll teach me for getting cocky :) > but it paid off. Well done > to Werner too: fifth place and three computer simulations behind you. I underestimated Spain, I think that was crucial. I thought they'd remain true to form and bow out in the quarterfinal. Ciao, Werner

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