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From: Chagney Hunt on 25 Jun 2010 17:54
On Jun 25, 5:51 pm, Clément <lcmello.lis...(a)terra.com.br> wrote:

> I suppose Japan must have hurt almost everybody's score.


What a bonker World Cup. UEFA will likely have less Quarter Finalist
than one other conference (CONMEBOL), that's another first.
From: Chagney Hunt on 25 Jun 2010 18:01
On Jun 25, 5:37 pm, "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> "Chagney Hunt" <ess...(a)gmail.com> wrote in message
>
> news:7bd03953-f187-40ba-a77e-5028e606bbb6(a)x21g2000yqa.googlegroups.com...
> On Jun 25, 5:02 pm, "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
>
> > 31 7h(a)ch -86.27932565
> > 32 Jussi Uosukainen -162.0036693
> > What happened? What team helped Jussi to beat me? :-)
>
> You both assigned zero probabilities to Japan. Jussi, however, thought that
> Italy would advance for sure (on the other hand, I think you gave Italy the
> highest probability of not advancing, 0.35 -- other than Aggie, of course)

In other words, this is like getting the powerball number right, just
not everything else :-)
From: milivella on 25 Jun 2010 18:08
Futbolmetrix:

> And the winner is...

> AQB's computer simulation, narrowly edging out 6 other computer-generated
> predictions!

Wow. Too many robotic overlords.

> Congratulations Myk!
>
> And congratulations to Werner Pichler for being first of the humans, even
> though that only means 8th place.

I second those congratulations. Well done!

>       20 milivella -19.82989862
>       21 Futbolmetrix -20.06721832
>       22 Alessandro Riolo -20.13149172

The only three Italians (as far as I know) all close to each other!

--
Cheers
milivella
From: milivella on 25 Jun 2010 18:15
Clément:

> "Futbolmetrix" escreveu na mensagemnews:i035hf$4vh$1(a)news.eternal-september.org...
>
>
>
> > Final standings:
>
> (first humans)
>
>
>
>
>
> >      Rank Name Round 1 Score
> (...)
> >      8 Werner Pichler -18.1387208
> >      9 Mark V. -18.21692356
> >      10 Luiz Mello -18.42830755
>
> This was a surprising finish!
>
> Now I don't care anymore about being on the bottom of every game in
> Millivela's World Cup games thread. It's just that I'm too sophisticated for
> those unsophisticated games. Yeah!

It's difficult to object to such a sophisticated argument!

> I suppose Japan must have hurt almost everybody's score.

South Korea have hurt mine more. Anyway, I don't think that Japan at
0.64 (chances to exit at the group stage) is that bad: my problem is
probably that I had no team under 0.26.

--
Cheers
milivella
From: milivella on 25 Jun 2010 18:17
Futbolmetrix:

> "Chagney Hunt" <ess...(a)gmail.com> wrote in message
>
> news:7bd03953-f187-40ba-a77e-5028e606bbb6(a)x21g2000yqa.googlegroups.com...
> On Jun 25, 5:02 pm, "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
>
> > 31 7h(a)ch -86.27932565
> > 32 Jussi Uosukainen -162.0036693
> > What happened? What team helped Jussi to beat me? :-)
>
> You both assigned zero probabilities to Japan. Jussi, however, thought that
> Italy would advance for sure (on the other hand, I think you gave Italy the
> highest probability of not advancing, 0.35 -- other than Aggie, of course)

I had them (us, actually. and sadly) at 0.41!

--
Cheers
milivella
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