The John De Lange Sophisticated Prediction Contest - ECQ 2012
in [World Football]
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From: Futbolmetrix on 9 Jul 2010 08:22 "anders t" <anthu_001(a)no_-_spam_.hotmail.com> wrote in message news:12jc365e7ihtfti7eidfabolvs603ddrf6(a)4ax.com... > Download the spreadsheet at: > > http://hem.bredband.net/b143990/sophcon/SophisticatedPredictionContest_ECQ2012_AGNOSTIC.xls > > Use the address in my usenet profile (you know what you must do first to > make the email address valid! > > There are two concurrent contests. A half-arsed sophisticated version > where > you only have to predict who wins each group. And the full sophisticated > version where you have to enter the full matrix of results. > > Deadline for entries: > 60 minutes before kickoff of Estonia-Faore Islands on August 11, 2010. Cool. Send a reminder also a few days before the competition begins. D
From: Amir on 11 Jul 2010 10:35 On Jul 9, 12:32 am, anders t <anthu_001(a)no_-_spam_.hotmail.com> wrote: > Quoting anders t in rec.sport.soccer: > > [snip] > > Btw: I'll send my own predictions (which I hope to get done tomorrow) to > Futbolmetrix for non-cheating reasons (I hope you'll accept to keep it safe > somewhere so that noone can accuse my of cheating!). > > -- > MANCHESTER UNITED FC > CHAMPIONS LATEST > ENGLAND 2009 - UEFA 2008 - WORLD 2009 you can just post a link to your predictions zipped with a password, and when the deadline ends just give us the password...
From: anders t on 29 Jul 2010 16:25 Quoting anders t in rec.sport.soccer: >Download the spreadsheet at: >http://hem.bredband.net/b143990/sophcon/SophisticatedPredictionContest_ECQ2012_AGNOSTIC.xls >Use the address in my usenet profile (you know what you must do first to >make the email address valid! >There are two concurrent contests. A half-arsed sophisticated version where >you only have to predict who wins each group. And the full sophisticated >version where you have to enter the full matrix of results. >Teams can either: >a) be a group loser (GL), that is end up 3-6(5) >b) win a group (WG) >c) be the best runner up (B2) >d) be a playoff loser (LPO) >e) be a playoff winner (WPO) >You are really only supposed to tamper with the non yellow-coloured parts >(and the name row at the top) >Be careful to make sure there are OKs in all calculated checkpoints. They >must ALL be OK, for it to be a valid entry. >Notice specifically that c-e above must add up in several ways/places. >============================================================= >This contest deploys the new rule that the lowest allowable >prediction in any cell is 0.0001. There can thus be no 0s. >And, consequently, since all calculated checkpoints must >add up, all predictions in all cells will be some figure >lower than 1. >============================================================= >Deadline for entries: >60 minutes before kickoff of Estonia-Faore Islands on August 11, 2010. >And stealing proudly from Futbolmetrix: >Enjoy (and let me know if there are any bugs), and let the most >sophisticated man or woman win! Don't forget this MarathonSophCon! Remember, it might take a bit longer time to fill in than usual. -- Manchester United FC Champions latest: England/2009, UEFA/2008, World/2009
From: Futbolmetrix on 9 Aug 2010 10:15 "anders t" <anthu_001(a)no_-_spam_.hotmail.com> wrote in message news:12jc365e7ihtfti7eidfabolvs603ddrf6(a)4ax.com... > Download the spreadsheet at: > sent you my entry about half an hour ago. please confirm receipt. Only two more days to go! D
From: anders t on 9 Aug 2010 15:12
Quoting Futbolmetrix in rec.sport.soccer: >sent you my entry about half an hour ago. please confirm receipt. Yes, I've got it! Valid entries so far: Jesus Petry Luiz Mello Futbolmetrix Anders T (will post my figures to the thread around closing time - DO remind me should I forget!) >Only two more days to go! --- Pasting the original post's contents again --- Download the spreadsheet at: http://hem.bredband.net/b143990/sophcon/SophisticatedPredictionContest_ECQ2012_AGNOSTIC.xls Use the address in my usenet profile (you know what you must do first to make the email address valid! There are two concurrent contests. A half-arsed sophisticated version where you only have to predict who wins each group. And the full sophisticated version where you have to enter the full matrix of results. Teams can either: a) be a group loser (GL), that is end up 3-6(5) b) win a group (WG) c) be the best runner up (B2) d) be a playoff loser (LPO) e) be a playoff winner (WPO) You are really only supposed to tamper with the non yellow-coloured parts (and the name row at the top) Be careful to make sure there are OKs in all calculated checkpoints. They must ALL be OK, for it to be a valid entry. Notice specifically that c-e above must add up in several ways/places. (But, for some reason, that only Bill Gates knows about, the "E+F+G Constraint" column doesn't always compute correctly, some bizarre rounding problem in excel, I guess.) ============================================================= This contest deploys the new rule that the lowest allowable prediction in any cell is 0.0001. There can thus be no 0s. And, consequently, since all calculated checkpoints must add up correctly, all predictions in all cells will also be some figure lower than 1. ============================================================= Deadline for entries: 60 minutes before kickoff of Estonia-Faore Islands on August 11, 2010. --- --- Finally, a warning, this sheet takes a little longer to fill in compared to other SophCons, so don't wait too long!!! -- Manchester United FC Champions latest: England/2009, UEFA/2008, World/2009 |