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From: Futbolmetrix on 7 Apr 2010 23:17 On Apr 7, 7:06 pm, Chagney Hunt <ess...(a)gmail.com> wrote: > > Barcelona are a very well oiled team, but if anyone can beat them, > it's Inter. They've met recently and it's often the case that the > loser learned more from a beating than the winner. Also, a trap many > "in-form" teams often fell into is not that they found a smooth > rhythm, but that they got *used to* and became over reliant on the > rhythm (as opposed to struggling team never got to rest on such > comfort and may improvise). So that when the next team they play found > a way to disrupt that rhythm, they get momentarily lost. A few heads > lose their cool, a few legs struggling to find the timing, time is > ripe for one uncharacteristic mistakes or two and suddenly they are > out of the tie. > > Taleb said "in Extremistan, events are dictated by outliers rather > than the norm". In the high pressure cooker that is the semi final, > results will likely be determined by something totally random (read > unexpected) rather than the normal slick style of Barcelona. I couldn't have put it better myself.
From: Bob on 8 Apr 2010 01:30 Futbolmetrix wrote: > On Apr 7, 7:06 pm, Chagney Hunt <ess...(a)gmail.com> wrote: >> >> Barcelona are a very well oiled team, but if anyone can beat them, >> it's Inter. They've met recently and it's often the case that the >> loser learned more from a beating than the winner. Also, a trap many >> "in-form" teams often fell into is not that they found a smooth >> rhythm, but that they got *used to* and became over reliant on the >> rhythm (as opposed to struggling team never got to rest on such >> comfort and may improvise). So that when the next team they play >> found a way to disrupt that rhythm, they get momentarily lost. A few >> heads lose their cool, a few legs struggling to find the timing, >> time is ripe for one uncharacteristic mistakes or two and suddenly >> they are out of the tie. >> >> Taleb said "in Extremistan, events are dictated by outliers rather >> than the norm". In the high pressure cooker that is the semi final, >> results will likely be determined by something totally random (read >> unexpected) rather than the normal slick style of Barcelona. > > I couldn't have put it better myself. Short of wrestling, there isn't much that is going to throw off Barcelona's rythm, at which point it is a matter of refereeing.
From: FF on 8 Apr 2010 01:47 Bob wrote: > Futbolmetrix wrote: > > On Apr 7, 7:06 pm, Chagney Hunt <ess...(a)gmail.com> wrote: > >> > >> Barcelona are a very well oiled team, but if anyone can beat them, > >> it's Inter. They've met recently and it's often the case that the > >> loser learned more from a beating than the winner. Also, a trap many > >> "in-form" teams often fell into is not that they found a smooth > >> rhythm, but that they got *used to* and became over reliant on the > >> rhythm (as opposed to struggling team never got to rest on such > >> comfort and may improvise). So that when the next team they play > >> found a way to disrupt that rhythm, they get momentarily lost. A few > >> heads lose their cool, a few legs struggling to find the timing, > >> time is ripe for one uncharacteristic mistakes or two and suddenly > >> they are out of the tie. > >> > >> Taleb said "in Extremistan, events are dictated by outliers rather > >> than the norm". In the high pressure cooker that is the semi final, > >> results will likely be determined by something totally random (read > >> unexpected) rather than the normal slick style of Barcelona. > > > > I couldn't have put it better myself. > > Short of wrestling, there isn't much that is going to throw off Barcelona's > rythm, at which point it is a matter of refereeing. I honestly can't see it happen. Barca are genuinely too good. Even if Messi would be dealt with the italian way, and even if the refs are going to miss a penalty or 2 (though this usually happens in favor of the stronger team). Hell, they can't can't break the legs of half of the team, not even Inter will do it. And it's not 50%, not by far. That's wishful thinking, from Mou and others. I wouldn't be very surprised if Inter does go through, but surprised I would be.
From: JK on 8 Apr 2010 09:51 Futbolmetrix wrote: > <ken.overton(a)gmail.com> wrote in message > news:8a16d756-63e3-47cc-a207-b2070ba0cfac(a)e21g2000vbb.googlegroups.com... > >> I dunno, the Inter that shutdown Chelsea looked a lot better to me >> than the Inter from the group stages. > > They are gelling at the right time, and they are extremely, extremely > motivated, much more than Barca. Everybody in the Virgin camp knows that the > only thing that can give some sort of pseudo-legitimacy to their ROTFL-run > of first places in Serie A ("titles" is too big of a name) is European > success. Plus, the filth that is finally emerging regarding the Immaculates' > role in the calciopoli years will give them that extra "us against the > world" mentality. Alas, such is the price that has to be paid for finally > restoring the truth. > > I would say that the probability of a Virgin upset is extremely high. > Mourinho said 50%, but I reckon it's higher than that. > > D I think Inter is the worst possible opponent for Barca in world football, outside possibly of Dunga's Brazil, which shares some key personnel. Very physical, well-coached, and dangerous in attack.
From: Abubakr on 8 Apr 2010 10:16
On 8 Apr, 07:55, "Futbolmetrix" <futbolmet...(a)yahoo.com> wrote: > <ken.over...(a)gmail.com> wrote in message > > news:8a16d756-63e3-47cc-a207-b2070ba0cfac(a)e21g2000vbb.googlegroups.com... > > > I dunno, the Inter that shutdown Chelsea looked a lot better to me > > than the Inter from the group stages. > > They are gelling at the right time, and they are extremely, extremely > motivated, much more than Barca. Everybody in the Virgin camp knows that the > only thing that can give some sort of pseudo-legitimacy to their ROTFL-run > of first places in Serie A ("titles" is too big of a name) is European > success. Plus, the filth that is finally emerging regarding the Immaculates' > role in the calciopoli years will give them that extra "us against the > world" mentality. Alas, such is the price that has to be paid for finally > restoring the truth. > > I would say that the probability of a Virgin upset is extremely high. > Mourinho said 50%, but I reckon it's higher than that. > > D As long ago as immediately before last weekend they were in a rut, dropping points everywhere and playing terribly. Apparently beating mighty Bologna at San Siro and scraping by CSKA through a BS fk has changed all that. |